AIK vs Örgryte IS

Sun, 14:30 · Main prediction: AIK Win · 58.5% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

AIK WinMain pick

53.1%Over 2.5

54.3%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

AIK	63.5% / 66.1%
Draw	20.1% / 19.0%
Örgryte IS	16.4% / 14.9%

🧠 Why this prediction?

AIK favorit acasă (63% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Contrarian: Home.

Why could this be wrong?

Contrarian signal active — sharp money may disagree with the model

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 59%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

AIK @ 1.45 · fair odds: 1.57 · edge -2.6%
Draw @ 4.57 · fair odds: 4.98 · edge 1.1%
Örgryte IS @ 5.63 · fair odds: 6.10 · edge 1.5%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: AIK vs Örgryte IS

AIK host Örgryte IS on Sun, 14:30 in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The ScoreSight model favours AIK Win with 59% confidence. Model probabilities: AIK 64%, Draw 20%, Örgryte IS 16%. Over 2.5 goals: 53% · BTTS: 54%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 2.6%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.