Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK

Azi, 17:00 · Main prediction: Sieg Mjällby AIF · 45.9% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Sieg Mjällby AIFMain pick

54.7%Over 2.5

54.3%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Mjällby AIF	50.9% / 52.2%
Unentschieden	24.9% / 24.2%
Västerås SK	24.2% / 23.5%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Mjällby AIF favorit acasă (51% probabilitate model). Model și piață în acord (51%).

Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.49) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (46%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

Mjällby AIF @ 1.83 · fair odds: 1.96 · edge -1.3%
Draw @ 3.75 · fair odds: 4.02 · edge 0.6%
Västerås SK @ 3.85 · fair odds: 4.13 · edge 0.7%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Mjällby AIF vs Västerås SK

Mjällby AIF host Västerås SK on Today, 17:00 in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The ScoreSight model favours Sieg Mjällby AIF with 46% confidence. Model probabilities: Mjällby AIF 51%, Draw 25%, Västerås SK 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 55% · BTTS: 54%. Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.

Match completed 📊 Post-match stats available →

Half-by-half xG, lineups and event timeline for completed matches.