Mirassol vs Remo

Mie, 22:30 · Main prediction: Sieg Mirassol · 50.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Sieg MirassolMain pick

47.5%Under 2.5

53.4%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Mirassol	55.0% / 56.5%
Unentschieden	26.0% / 25.5%
Remo	19.0% / 18.0%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Mirassol favorit acasă (55% probabilitate model). Fortăreață acasă (10 pts ultimele 5 meciuri home).

Tactical signal: Card-Heavy Game.
Tactical signal: Home Fortress.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.43) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (50%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Mirassol @ 1.7 · fair odds: 1.82 · edge -1.5%
Draw @ 3.59 · fair odds: 3.85 · edge 0.5%
Remo @ 4.93 · fair odds: 5.26 · edge 1.0%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Mirassol vs Remo

Mirassol host Remo on Wed, 22:30 in Brasileirão (Brazil). The ScoreSight model favours Sieg Mirassol with 50% confidence. Model probabilities: Mirassol 55%, Draw 26%, Remo 19%. Over 2.5 goals: 48% · BTTS: 53%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 1.5%. Tactical signal: Card-Heavy Game.