Zagłębie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice

Azi, 17:00 · Main prediction: Win Piast Gliwice · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Win Piast GliwiceMain pick

50.0%Under 2.5

55.0%BTTS Yes

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

Zagłębie Lubin	32.8% / 32.8%
Draw	30.3% / 30.1%
Piast Gliwice	36.9% / 37.1%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Piast Gliwice favorit în deplasare (37% probabilitate model). Model și piață în acord (37%).

Tactical signal: Balanced Match.
Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.58) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random
Balanced probabilities — small model signal, easy to flip

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

Zagłębie Lubin @ 2.88 · fair odds: 3.05 · edge 0.0%
Draw @ 3.12 · fair odds: 3.30 · edge 0.2%
Piast Gliwice @ 2.56 · fair odds: 2.71 · edge -0.2%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Zagłębie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice

Zagłębie Lubin host Piast Gliwice on Today, 17:00 in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The ScoreSight model favours Win Piast Gliwice with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: Zagłębie Lubin 33%, Draw 30%, Piast Gliwice 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 50% · BTTS: 55%. Tactical signal: Balanced Match.

Match completed 📊 Post-match stats available →

Half-by-half xG, lineups and event timeline for completed matches.