IK Start vs Rosenborg

Sâm, 14:00 · Main prediction: Unentschieden · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

UnentschiedenMain pick

53.2%Over 2.5

54.5%BTTS Yes

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

IK Start	37.4% / 30.3%
Unentschieden	30.6% / 26.9%
Rosenborg	32.0% / 42.9%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Meci echilibrat, șanse mari de egal (31% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: Value Detected.
Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.58) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random
Draw picks historically underperform — markets often under-price draws

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

IK Start @ 3.06 · fair odds: 2.67 · edge 7.1%
Draw @ 3.42 · fair odds: 3.27 · edge 3.7%
Rosenborg @ 2.21 · fair odds: 3.13 · edge -10.8%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: IK Start vs Rosenborg

IK Start host Rosenborg on Sat, 14:00 in Eliteserien (Norway). The ScoreSight model favours Unentschieden with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: IK Start 37%, Draw 31%, Rosenborg 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 53% · BTTS: 55%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 10.8%. Tactical signal: Value Detected.