Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Vin, 18:45 · Main prediction: Sieg Dundalk · 58.4% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Sieg DundalkMain pick

56.4%Over 2.5

57.7%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Dundalk	63.4% / 65.8%
Unentschieden	20.8% / 19.8%
Sligo Rovers	15.8% / 14.3%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Dundalk favorit acasă (63% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 58%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Dundalk @ 1.46 · fair odds: 1.58 · edge -2.4%
Draw @ 4.45 · fair odds: 4.81 · edge 1.0%
Sligo Rovers @ 5.88 · fair odds: 6.33 · edge 1.4%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers

Dundalk host Sligo Rovers on Fri, 18:45 in Ireland Premier Division (Ireland). The ScoreSight model favours Sieg Dundalk with 58% confidence. Model probabilities: Dundalk 63%, Draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 16%. Over 2.5 goals: 56% · BTTS: 58%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 2.4%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.