Atlético San Luis vs Tijuana

Sat, 03:00 · Main prediction: Tijuana Win · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Tijuana WinMain pick

36.2%Under 2.5

39.7%BTTS No

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

Atlético San Luis	27.5% / 39.5%
Draw	32.3% / 27.5%
Tijuana	40.2% / 33.0%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Tijuana favorit în deplasare (40% probabilitate model). Piața subapreciază (40% model vs 33% bookmaker, edge +7%).

Tactical signal: Value Detected.
Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.57) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

Atlético San Luis @ 2.36 · fair odds: 3.64 · edge -12.0%
Draw @ 3.29 · fair odds: 3.10 · edge 4.8%
Tijuana @ 2.79 · fair odds: 2.49 · edge 7.2%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Atlético San Luis vs Tijuana

Atlético San Luis host Tijuana on Sat, 03:00 in Liga MX (Mexico). The ScoreSight model favours Tijuana Win with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: Atlético San Luis 28%, Draw 32%, Tijuana 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 36% · BTTS: 40%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 12.0%. Tactical signal: Value Detected.