Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC

Sun, 00:30 · Main prediction: Chicago Fire Win · 56.9% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Chicago Fire WinMain pick

50.4%Under 2.5

58.6%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Chicago Fire	61.9% / 63.9%
Draw	20.1% / 19.2%
Charlotte FC	17.9% / 16.9%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Chicago Fire favorit acasă (62% probabilitate model). Fortăreață acasă (9 pts ultimele 5 meciuri home).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Clean Discipline.

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 57%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Chicago Fire @ 1.51 · fair odds: 1.62 · edge -2.0%
Draw @ 4.64 · fair odds: 4.98 · edge 0.9%
Charlotte FC @ 5.21 · fair odds: 5.59 · edge 1.1%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC

Chicago Fire host Charlotte FC on Sun, 00:30 in MLS (USA). The ScoreSight model favours Chicago Fire Win with 57% confidence. Model probabilities: Chicago Fire 62%, Draw 20%, Charlotte FC 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 50% · BTTS: 59%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 2.0%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.