AC Oulu vs Ilves Tampere

Dum, 14:00 · Main prediction: Sieg AC Oulu · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Sieg AC OuluMain pick

59.3%Over 2.5

65.3%BTTS Yes

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

AC Oulu	38.7% / 39.1%
Unentschieden	27.0% / 26.5%
Ilves Tampere	34.3% / 34.4%

🧠 Why this prediction?

AC Oulu favorit acasă (39% probabilitate model). Fortăreață acasă (10 pts ultimele 5 meciuri home).

Tactical signal: Balanced Match.
Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.57) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random
Balanced probabilities — small model signal, easy to flip

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

AC Oulu @ 2.4 · fair odds: 2.58 · edge -0.4%
Draw @ 3.45 · fair odds: 3.70 · edge 0.5%
Ilves Tampere @ 2.71 · fair odds: 2.92 · edge -0.1%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: AC Oulu vs Ilves Tampere

AC Oulu host Ilves Tampere on Sun, 14:00 in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The ScoreSight model favours Sieg AC Oulu with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: AC Oulu 39%, Draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 59% · BTTS: 65%. Tactical signal: Balanced Match.