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Track Record Public ScoreSight

Acuratete verificabila pe ultimele 60 zile, fara selectie manuala. Toate piete principale: 1X2, Over/Under si BTTS.

268Predictii cu semnal
54.9%Acuratete 1X2
57.1%Ultimele 30 zile
-6.1%RPS skill vs. Bet365
54.9%Acuratete O/U
57.1%Acuratete BTTS
Evolutie saptamanala acuratete 1X2

Fiecare punct = o saptamana. Culoare: verde ≥55%, galben 45-55%, rosu <45%.

2026-04-20: 52.5% (31/59)2026-04-27: 51.6% (48/93)2026-05-04: 63% (29/46)2026-05-11: 54.5% (30/55)2026-05-18: 60% (9/15) 04-2004-2705-0405-1105-18 43.6%50%71% 50%

Acoperire completa: 464 meciuri generate total. 196 au primit eticheta semnal insuficient (entropia pietei ridicata + incredere scazuta) si sunt excluse din acuratetea principala. Acuratete bruta pe toate: 49.4%.

Context: ce înseamnă 45% acuratețe?

Fotbalul 1X2 are 3 rezultate posibile — un model care ghiceste la intamplare obtine ~33%. Chiar si modelele academice de top pe Premier League singur ating 51-52%. ScoreSight opereaza pe 14 ligi, inclusiv Championship, Serie B si Eredivisie — unde predictibilitatea e mai mica. Indicatorul relevant nu e acuratetea bruta ci RPS skill: daca modelul bate Bet365 pe calibrarea probabilitatilor (RPS), inseamna ca estimeaza sansele mai bine decat piata, pe termen lung.

Calibrare probabilistica (RPS)

RPS (Ranked Probability Score) masoara calibrarea probabilitatilor — mai mic = mai precis.

0.214 RPS Model
0.2017 RPS Piata (Bet365)
-6.1% Skill vs piata
+7.1% Skill vs frecventa istorica

Skill > 0% = modelul are calibrare mai buna decat piata. vs frecventa = modelul bate pronosticul naiv (proportii H/D/A istorice).

Acuratete pe piata
PiataTotalCorecteAcuratete
1X2 (rezultat final) 268 147
54.9%
Over / Under 2.5 268 147
54.9%
BTTS (ambele marcheaza) 268 153
57.1%
1X2 cu Value Bet atasat 71 40
56.3%
Acuratete pe banda de incredere
IncredereTotalCorecteAcuratete
≥ 65% 25 17
68%
55–65% 54 36
66.7%
< 55% 385 176
45.7%
Breakdown pe ligi
LigaMeciuriCorecteAcuratete
I1 · Serie A 41 20
48.8%
SP1 · La Liga 35 22
62.9%
F1 · Ligue 1 28 11
39.3%
E2 · League One 21 13
61.9%
E0 · Premier League 20 14
70%
D1 · Bundesliga 20 10
50%
D2 · 2. Bundesliga 18 9
50%
N1 · Eredivisie 18 9
50%
P1 · Primeira Liga 14 7
50%
E1 · Championship 14 8
57.1%
SC0 · Scottish Prem. 12 9
75%
F2 · Ligue 2 11 7
63.6%
I2 · Serie B 8 3
37.5%
E3 · League Two 8 5
62.5%
Ultimele 50 predictii rezolvate
MeciPredictieScor real1X2 / O/U / BTTS
2026-05-24 · Crystal Palace vs Arsenal · Premier League Oaspeti 46% 1–2 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Man City vs Aston Villa · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 41% 1–2 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Nott'm Forest vs Bournemouth · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Oaspeti 42% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Liverpool vs Brentford · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 1–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Brighton vs Man United · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Egal 38% 0–3 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Burnley vs Wolves · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 40% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Sunderland vs Chelsea · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 2–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Tottenham vs Everton · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Fulham vs Newcastle · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 2–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · West Ham vs Leeds · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 3–0 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Villarreal vs Ath Madrid · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 5–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Parma vs Sassuolo · Serie A Oaspeti 50% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Napoli vs Udinese · Serie A Gazda 49% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Milan vs Cagliari · Serie A Gazda 52% 1–2 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Verona vs Roma · Serie A Oaspeti 63% 0–2 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Cremonese vs Como · Serie A Oaspeti 66% 1–4 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Lecce vs Genoa · Serie Asemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-24 · Torino vs Juventus · Serie A Oaspeti 70% 2–2 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Alaves vs Vallecano · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 1–2 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao · La Liga Gazda 67% 4–2 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Valencia vs Barcelona · La Liga Oaspeti 60% 3–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Getafe vs Osasuna · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Celta vs Sevilla · La Liga Gazda 50% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Girona vs Elche · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Espanol vs Sociedad · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Betis vs Levante · La Liga Gazda 54% 2–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Mallorca vs Oviedo · La Liga Gazda 42% 3–0 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Bologna vs Inter · Serie A Oaspeti 54% 3–3 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-23 · Lazio vs Pisa · Serie Asemnal slab Gazda 44% 2–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-22 · Fiorentina vs Atalanta · Serie A Oaspeti 57% 1–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-19 · Bournemouth vs Man City · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 1–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-19 · Chelsea vs Tottenham · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 40% 2–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-18 · Arsenal vs Burnley · Premier League Gazda 76% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Man United vs Nott'm Forest · Premier League Gazda 56% 3–2 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Brentford vs Crystal Palace · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 2–2 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Leeds vs Brighton · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Egal 38% 1–0 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Everton vs Sunderland · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 40% 1–3 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Wolves vs Fulham · Premier League Oaspeti 53% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Newcastle vs West Ham · Premier Leaguesemnal slab Gazda 38% 3–1 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Barcelona vs Betis · La Liga Gazda 56% 3–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Oviedo vs Alaves · La Ligasemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 0–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Ath Bilbao vs Celta · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 1–1 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Ath Madrid vs Girona · La Liga Gazda 60% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Osasuna vs Espanol · La Liga Gazda 43% 1–2 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Elche vs Getafe · La Ligasemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 1–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Levante vs Mallorca · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 2–0 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Vallecano vs Villarreal · La Ligasemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 2–0 ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Sevilla vs Real Madrid · La Liga Oaspeti 52% 0–1 ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Sociedad vs Valencia · La Ligasemnal slab Egal 38% 3–4 ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS
2026-05-17 · Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesligasemnal slab Oaspeti 38% 0–1 ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS
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