Chapecoense vs Flamengo

Joi, 00:30 · Main prediction: Victoria Flamengo · 59.2% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Victoria FlamengoMain pick

45.0%Under 2.5

56.4%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Chapecoense	14.0% / N/A
Empate	21.8% / N/A
Flamengo	64.2% / N/A

🧠 Why this prediction?

Flamengo favorit în deplasare (64% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Card-Heavy Game.

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 59%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Chapecoense @ 6.67 · fair odds: 7.14 · edge 0.0%
Draw @ 4.27 · fair odds: 4.59 · edge 0.0%
Flamengo @ 1.45 · fair odds: 1.56 · edge 0.0%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Chapecoense vs Flamengo

Chapecoense host Flamengo on Thu, 00:30 in Brasileirão (Brazil). The ScoreSight model favours Victoria Flamengo with 59% confidence. Model probabilities: Chapecoense 14%, Draw 22%, Flamengo 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 45% · BTTS: 56%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.