Coritiba vs Chapecoense

8 Aug, 23:30 · Main prediction: Empate · 56.3% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

EmpateMain pick

39.5%Under 2.5

50.8%BTTS No

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Coritiba	21.1% / N/A
Empate	61.3% / N/A
Chapecoense	17.5% / N/A

🧠 Why this prediction?

Meci echilibrat, șanse mari de egal (61% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Balanced Match.

Why could this be wrong?

Draw picks historically underperform — markets often under-price draws
Balanced probabilities — small model signal, easy to flip

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 56%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Analysis: Coritiba vs Chapecoense

Coritiba host Chapecoense on 8 Aug, 23:30 in Brasileirão (Brazil). The ScoreSight model favours Empate with 56% confidence. Model probabilities: Coritiba 21%, Draw 61%, Chapecoense 18%. Over 2.5 goals: 40% · BTTS: 51%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.