GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

Dum, 18:15 · Main prediction: Victoria GKS Katowice · 45.3% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Victoria GKS KatowiceMain pick

50.0%Under 2.5

55.2%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

GKS Katowice	50.3% / 51.3%
Empate	26.4% / 26.0%
Radomiak Radom	23.3% / 22.7%

🧠 Why this prediction?

GKS Katowice favorit acasă (50% probabilitate model). Fortăreață acasă (10 pts ultimele 5 meciuri home).

Tactical signal: Home Fortress.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.50) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (45%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

GKS Katowice @ 1.88 · fair odds: 1.99 · edge -1.0%
Draw @ 3.59 · fair odds: 3.79 · edge 0.4%
Radomiak Radom @ 4.06 · fair odds: 4.29 · edge 0.6%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: GKS Katowice vs Radomiak Radom

GKS Katowice host Radomiak Radom on Sun, 18:15 in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The ScoreSight model favours Victoria GKS Katowice with 45% confidence. Model probabilities: GKS Katowice 50%, Draw 26%, Radomiak Radom 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 50% · BTTS: 55%. Tactical signal: Home Fortress.