Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin

Dum, 12:45 · Main prediction: Vitória Legia Warszawa · 54.6% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Vitória Legia WarszawaMain pick

50.5%Under 2.5

55.5%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Legia Warszawa	59.6% / 61.2%
Empate	23.4% / 22.7%
Zagłębie Lubin	17.1% / 16.0%

🧠 Why this prediction?

Legia Warszawa favorit acasă (60% probabilitate model). Model și piață în acord (60%).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 55%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Legia Warszawa @ 1.58 · fair odds: 1.68 · edge -1.6%
Draw @ 4.03 · fair odds: 4.27 · edge 0.6%
Zagłębie Lubin @ 5.52 · fair odds: 5.85 · edge 1.0%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin

Legia Warszawa host Zagłębie Lubin on Sun, 12:45 in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The ScoreSight model favours Vitória Legia Warszawa with 55% confidence. Model probabilities: Legia Warszawa 60%, Draw 23%, Zagłębie Lubin 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 51% · BTTS: 56%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 1.6%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.