IK Start vs Viking FK

Sâm, 16:00 · Main prediction: Vitória IK Start · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Vitória IK StartMain pick

53.7%Over 2.5

57.3%BTTS Yes

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

IK Start	40.3% / 16.2%
Empate	29.0% / 20.2%
Viking FK	30.7% / 63.6%

🧠 Why this prediction?

IK Start favorit acasă (40% probabilitate model). Piața subapreciază (40% model vs 16% bookmaker, edge +24%).

Tactical signal: Strong Value.
Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.57) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

IK Start @ 5.29 · fair odds: 2.48 · edge 24.0%
Draw @ 4.37 · fair odds: 3.45 · edge 8.8%
Viking FK @ 1.51 · fair odds: 3.26 · edge -32.8%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: IK Start vs Viking FK

IK Start host Viking FK on Sat, 16:00 in Eliteserien (Norway). The ScoreSight model favours Vitória IK Start with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: IK Start 40%, Draw 29%, Viking FK 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 54% · BTTS: 57%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 32.8%. Tactical signal: Strong Value.