Samsunspor vs Goztepe

17 Aug, 18:30 · Main prediction: Vittoria Goztepe · 41.9% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Vittoria GoztepeMain pick

62.6%Over 2.5

53.9%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Samsunspor	30.0% / N/A
Pareggio	23.1% / N/A
Goztepe	46.9% / N/A

🧠 Why this prediction?

Goztepe favorit în deplasare (47% probabilitate model).

The model sees a moderate imbalance in probabilities versus the market.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.52) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (42%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Analysis: Samsunspor vs Goztepe

Samsunspor host Goztepe on 17 Aug, 18:30 in Süper Lig (Turkey). The ScoreSight model favours Vittoria Goztepe with 42% confidence. Model probabilities: Samsunspor 30%, Draw 23%, Goztepe 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 63% · BTTS: 54%.