FC Voluntari vs UTA Arad

Sâm, 15:30 · Main prediction: Empate · 38.0% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

EmpateMain pick

44.6%Under 2.5

52.6%BTTS Yes

⛔ Match to Avoid High market entropy — model and market disagree significantly. Risk is elevated.

Model vs market probabilities

FC Voluntari	41.7% / N/A
Empate	31.9% / N/A
UTA Arad	26.4% / N/A

🧠 Why this prediction?

Meci echilibrat, șanse mari de egal (32% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.56) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (38%) — prediction is close to random
Draw picks historically underperform — markets often under-price draws

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Analysis: FC Voluntari vs UTA Arad

FC Voluntari host UTA Arad on Sat, 15:30 in SuperLiga (Romania). The ScoreSight model favours Empate with 38% confidence. Model probabilities: FC Voluntari 42%, Draw 32%, UTA Arad 26%. Over 2.5 goals: 45% · BTTS: 53%. Tactical signal: Uncertain Match.