TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn

Sat, 12:00 · Main prediction: TPS Turku Win · 56.9% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

TPS Turku WinMain pick

67.1%Over 2.5

65.3%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

TPS Turku	61.9% / 64.3%
Draw	21.5% / 20.5%
IFK Mariehamn	16.6% / 15.2%

🧠 Why this prediction?

TPS Turku favorit acasă (62% probabilitate model).

Tactical signal: High Confidence.
Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.

Model certainty

🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 57%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

TPS Turku @ 1.49 · fair odds: 1.62 · edge -2.4%
Draw @ 4.29 · fair odds: 4.65 · edge 1.0%
IFK Mariehamn @ 5.57 · fair odds: 6.02 · edge 1.4%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn

TPS Turku host IFK Mariehamn on Sat, 12:00 in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The ScoreSight model favours TPS Turku Win with 57% confidence. Model probabilities: TPS Turku 62%, Draw 22%, IFK Mariehamn 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 67% · BTTS: 65%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 2.4%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.