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Finland · Veikkausliiga

TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn

Sâm, 12:00 · Main prediction: Vitória TPS Turku · 56.9% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Vitória TPS TurkuMain pick
67.1%Over 2.5
65.3%BTTS Yes
— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.
Model vs market probabilities
TPS Turku61.9% / 64.3%
Empate21.5% / 20.5%
IFK Mariehamn16.6% / 15.2%
🧠 Why this prediction?

TPS Turku favorit acasă (62% probabilitate model).

  • Tactical signal: High Confidence.
  • Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.
Model certainty
🟡 Model certainty: Medium

Confidence 57%, some data missing.

CLV — closing line value
CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge
  • TPS Turku @ 1.49 · fair odds: 1.62 · edge -2.4%
  • Draw @ 4.29 · fair odds: 4.65 · edge 1.0%
  • IFK Mariehamn @ 5.57 · fair odds: 6.02 · edge 1.4%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn

TPS Turku host IFK Mariehamn on Sat, 12:00 in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The ScoreSight model favours Vitória TPS Turku with 57% confidence. Model probabilities: TPS Turku 62%, Draw 22%, IFK Mariehamn 17%. Over 2.5 goals: 67% · BTTS: 65%. Maximum model edge versus bookmaker: 2.4%. Tactical signal: High Confidence.

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