ScoreSight Public Track Record
Verified accuracy over the last 60 days, no manual cherry-picking. All major markets: 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS.
428Signal predictions
50.5%1X2 accuracy
60%Last 30 days
-6.9%RPS skill vs. Bet365
56.3%O/U accuracy
55.8%BTTS accuracy
Each dot = one week. Color: green ≥55%, amber 45–55%, red <45%.
Full coverage: 624 predictions generated total. 196 flagged no signal (high market entropy + low confidence) and excluded from headline accuracy. Raw accuracy across all: 47.8%.
Football 1X2 has 3 outcomes — a random model gets ~33%. Even top academic models on the Premier League alone reach 51-52%. ScoreSight operates across 14 leagues including Championship, Serie B and Eredivisie — where predictability is lower. The relevant metric is RPS skill: if the model beats Bet365 on probability calibration, it estimates odds more accurately than the market over time.
RPS (Ranked Probability Score) measures probability calibration — lower = more accurate.
0.2144
Model RPS
0.2005
Market RPS (Bet365)
-6.9%
Skill vs market
+7%
Skill vs base rate
Skill > 0% = model has better calibration than the market. vs base rate = model beats naive forecast (historical H/D/A proportions).
| Market | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 (final result) | 428 | 216 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | 428 | 241 | |
| BTTS (both teams score) | 428 | 239 | |
| 1X2 with attached Value Bet | 173 | 77 |
| Confidence | Total | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ 65% | 42 | 28 | |
| 55–65% | 70 | 45 | |
| < 55% | 512 | 225 |
| League | Matches | Correct | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| I1 · Serie A | 52 | 24 | |
| SP1 · La Liga | 42 | 26 | |
| F1 · Ligue 1 | 42 | 17 | |
| E0 · Premier League | 33 | 19 | |
| D1 · Bundesliga | 33 | 15 | |
| E2 · League One | 33 | 16 | |
| E1 · Championship | 31 | 18 | |
| D2 · 2. Bundesliga | 29 | 13 | |
| P1 · Primeira Liga | 26 | 12 | |
| F2 · Ligue 2 | 25 | 14 | |
| I2 · Serie B | 23 | 9 | |
| N1 · Eredivisie | 22 | 12 | |
| E3 · League Two | 22 | 11 | |
| SC0 · Scottish Prem. | 15 | 10 |
| Match | Prediction | Actual score | 1X2 / O/U / BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 · Crystal Palace vs Arsenal · Premier League | Away 46% | 1–2 | ✓ ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Man City vs Aston Villa · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 41% | 1–2 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Nott'm Forest vs Bournemouth · Premier Leaguelow signal | Away 42% | 1–1 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Liverpool vs Brentford · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 1–1 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Brighton vs Man United · Premier Leaguelow signal | Draw 38% | 0–3 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Burnley vs Wolves · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 40% | 1–1 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Sunderland vs Chelsea · Premier Leaguelow signal | Away 38% | 2–1 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Tottenham vs Everton · Premier Leaguelow signal | Away 38% | 1–0 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Fulham vs Newcastle · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 2–0 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · West Ham vs Leeds · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 3–0 | — ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Villarreal vs Ath Madrid · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 5–1 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Parma vs Sassuolo · Serie A | Away 50% | 1–0 | ✗ ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Napoli vs Udinese · Serie A | Home 49% | 1–0 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Milan vs Cagliari · Serie A | Home 52% | 1–2 | ✗ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Verona vs Roma · Serie A | Away 63% | 0–2 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Cremonese vs Como · Serie A | Away 66% | 1–4 | ✓ ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Lecce vs Genoa · Serie Alow signal | Away 38% | 1–0 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-24 · Torino vs Juventus · Serie A | Away 70% | 2–2 | ✗ ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Alaves vs Vallecano · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 1–2 | — ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao · La Liga | Home 67% | 4–2 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Valencia vs Barcelona · La Liga | Away 60% | 3–1 | ✗ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Getafe vs Osasuna · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 1–0 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Celta vs Sevilla · La Liga | Home 50% | 1–0 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Girona vs Elche · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 1–1 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Espanol vs Sociedad · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 1–1 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Betis vs Levante · La Liga | Home 54% | 2–1 | ✓ ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Mallorca vs Oviedo · La Liga | Home 42% | 3–0 | ✓ ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Bologna vs Inter · Serie A | Away 54% | 3–3 | ✗ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-23 · Lazio vs Pisa · Serie Alow signal | Home 44% | 2–1 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-22 · Fiorentina vs Atalanta · Serie A | Away 57% | 1–1 | ✗ ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-19 · Bournemouth vs Man City · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 1–1 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-19 · Chelsea vs Tottenham · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 40% | 2–1 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-18 · Arsenal vs Burnley · Premier League | Home 76% | 1–0 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Man United vs Nott'm Forest · Premier League | Home 56% | 3–2 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Brentford vs Crystal Palace · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 2–2 | — ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Leeds vs Brighton · Premier Leaguelow signal | Draw 38% | 1–0 | — ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Everton vs Sunderland · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 40% | 1–3 | — ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Wolves vs Fulham · Premier League | Away 53% | 1–1 | ✗ ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Newcastle vs West Ham · Premier Leaguelow signal | Home 38% | 3–1 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Barcelona vs Betis · La Liga | Home 56% | 3–1 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Oviedo vs Alaves · La Ligalow signal | Away 38% | 0–1 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Ath Bilbao vs Celta · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 1–1 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Ath Madrid vs Girona · La Liga | Home 60% | 1–0 | ✓ ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Osasuna vs Espanol · La Liga | Home 43% | 1–2 | ✗ ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Elche vs Getafe · La Ligalow signal | Away 38% | 1–0 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Levante vs Mallorca · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 2–0 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Vallecano vs Villarreal · La Ligalow signal | Away 38% | 2–0 | — ✓ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Sevilla vs Real Madrid · La Liga | Away 52% | 0–1 | ✓ ✗ O/U ✗ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Sociedad vs Valencia · La Ligalow signal | Draw 38% | 3–4 | — ✗ O/U ✓ BTTS |
| 2026-05-17 · Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesligalow signal | Away 38% | 0–1 | — ✓ O/U ✓ BTTS |