🏆 FIFA WORLD CUP 2026 · OUTRIGHT PREDICTION

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?

Our AI model ranks France as the favourite, but the value is rarely in the obvious pick. Here are the ranked favourites and the dark horses worth watching.

⭐ Ranked Favourites

1
🇫🇷
France
Strongest squad depth, Mbappé in prime form
Outright
5.0
2
🇦🇷
Argentina
Defending champions, Messi's farewell tournament
Outright
6.0
3
🇧🇷
Brazil
New generation stars, historic WC pedigree
Outright
6.5
4
🇩🇪
Germany
Resurgent under Nagelsmann, high-tempo pressing
Outright
8.0
5
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
England
Deep squad, strong domestic form, hungry for first title
Outright
9.0
6
🇪🇸
Spain
Euro 2024 champions, elite technical quality
Outright
10.0

🐎 Dark Horses to Watch

🇲🇦 Morocco — 2022 semi-finalists — the run was no fluke
🇳🇴 Norway — Haaland's first World Cup, open group draw
🇵🇹 Portugal — Elite squad, Ronaldo's likely farewell motivation
🇳🇱 Netherlands — Tournament pedigree and a balanced side
🇺🇾 Uruguay — Battle-hardened, dangerous in knockouts
🇸🇳 Senegal — AFCON 2021 champions, best-balanced African side

Predictions are generated by a Poisson goal model trained on 10 seasons across 14 leagues, blended with squad strength and form — not just bookmaker odds. Outright prices shown are indicative.

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