Sp Lisbon vs Gil Vicente

16 Mai, 19:30 · Main prediction: Victoire Sp Lisbon · 62.7% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Victoire Sp LisbonMain pick

58.0%Over 2.5

56.9%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

Sp Lisbon	69.8% / N/A
Match Nul	17.9% / N/A
Gil Vicente	12.4% / N/A

🧠 Why this prediction?

Sp Lisbon favorit acasă (70% probabilitate model). Sp Lisbon în formă superioară (formă recentă: 8 vs 5 pts).

Tactical signal: Away Strong Finisher.
Tactical signal: High Confidence.

Model certainty

🟢 Model certainty: High

Confidence 63%, low entropy, full data — signal is reliable.

CLV — closing line value

⚪ CLV: Neutral

No strong market movement detected. Edge may hold to closing.

Odds & edge

Sp Lisbon @ 1.2 · fair odds: 1.43 · edge 0.0%
Draw @ 6.31 · fair odds: 5.59 · edge 0.0%
Gil Vicente @ 11.82 · fair odds: 8.06 · edge 0.0%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: Sp Lisbon vs Gil Vicente

Sp Lisbon host Gil Vicente on 16 May, 19:30 in Primeira Liga (Portugal). The ScoreSight model favours Victoire Sp Lisbon with 63% confidence. Model probabilities: Sp Lisbon 70%, Draw 18%, Gil Vicente 12%. Over 2.5 goals: 58% · BTTS: 57%. Tactical signal: Away Strong Finisher.

Match completed 📊 Post-match stats available →

Half-by-half xG, lineups and event timeline for completed matches.