FC Vaduz vs FC St Gallen

Dum, 12:00 · Main prediction: Victoire FC St Gallen · 38.7% confidence. This page exposes tactical context, model probabilities, market edge and the main absences.

Victoire FC St GallenMain pick

50.8%Under 2.5

61.3%BTTS Yes

— No bet Edge below 3% minimum threshold — no value detected.

Model vs market probabilities

FC Vaduz	31.2% / 31.0%
Match Nul	25.1% / 24.4%
FC St Gallen	43.7% / 44.5%

🧠 Why this prediction?

FC St Gallen favorit în deplasare (44% probabilitate model). Model și piață în acord (44%).

Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.

Why could this be wrong?

High market entropy (1.55) — odds are inconsistent across bookmakers
Low model confidence (39%) — prediction is close to random

Model certainty

🔴 Model certainty: Low

Low confidence or high entropy — treat prediction as indicative only.

CLV — closing line value

⚠️ CLV: Uncertain

High entropy market — closing line is unpredictable. Enter early or avoid.

Odds & edge

FC Vaduz @ 2.97 · fair odds: 3.21 · edge 0.2%
Draw @ 3.7 · fair odds: 3.98 · edge 0.7%
FC St Gallen @ 2.12 · fair odds: 2.29 · edge -0.8%

Bet365 odds sourced from football-data.co.uk public archive — for statistical reference only. Not affiliated with any bookmaker.

Analysis: FC Vaduz vs FC St Gallen

FC Vaduz host FC St Gallen on Sun, 12:00 in Swiss Super League (Switzerland). The ScoreSight model favours Victoire FC St Gallen with 39% confidence. Model probabilities: FC Vaduz 31%, Draw 25%, FC St Gallen 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51% · BTTS: 61%. Tactical signal: Weak Home Ground.